strategic-vulnerability

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Nikita Lalwani and Sam Winter-Levy argue that while AI could theoretically enhance first-strike capabilities against nuclear deterrence through submarine tracking, mobile missile targeting, and cyberattacks on command-and-control networks, physics, countermeasures, and the impossibility of testing such systems make achieving near-certain success unrealistic—meaning nuclear deterrence likely remains stable even in advanced AI scenarios.

Nikita Lalwani Sam Winter-Levy Carnegie Endowment for International Peace White House National Security Council Iron Dome Dead Hand 80,000 Hours
80000hours.org · paulpauper · 1 day ago · details · hn