ai-progress

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A 2026 review of AI 2027's 2025 predictions finds that quantitative AI progress is occurring at roughly 65% of the predicted pace, with most qualitative predictions remaining on track. If progress continues at this rate, full coding automation and AI takeoff would occur from mid-2028 to mid-2030, with notable underperformance in SWEBench improvements and AI R&D automation, offset by stronger-than-expected revenue growth.

blog.ai-futures.org · DGAP· 21 days ago · 20 min · research · details · hn 1