Stand-Alone Complex or Vibercrime? Exploring GenAI in Cybercrime Ecosystems

[2603.29545] Stand-Alone Complex or Vibercrime? Exploring the adoption and innovation of GenAI tools, coding assistants, and agents within cybercrime ecosystems --> Computer Science > Computers and Society arXiv:2603.29545 (cs) [Submitted on 31 Mar 2026] Title: Stand-Alone Complex or Vibercrime? Exploring the adoption and innovation of GenAI tools, coding assistants, and agents within cybercrime ecosystems Authors: Jack Hughes , Ben Collier , Daniel R. Thomas View a PDF of the paper titled Stand-Alone Complex or Vibercrime? Exploring the adoption and innovation of GenAI tools, coding assistants, and agents within cybercrime ecosystems, by Jack Hughes and 2 other authors View PDF HTML (experimental) Abstract: Existential risk scenarios relating to Generative Artificial Intelligence often involve advanced systems or agentic models breaking loose and using hacking tools to gain control over critical infrastructure. In this paper, we argue that the real threats posed by generative AI for cybercrime are rather different. We apply innovation theory and evolutionary economics - treating cybercrime as an ecosystem of small- and medium-scale tech start-ups, coining two novel terms that bound the upper and lower cases for disruption. At the high end, we propose the Stand-Alone Complex, in which cybercrime-gang-in-a-box solutions enable individual actors to largely automate existing cybercrime-as-a-service arrangements. At the low end, we suggest the phenomenon of Vibercrime, in which 'vibe coding' lowers the barrier to entry, but do not fundamentally reshape the economic structures of cybercrime. We analyse early empirical data from the cybercrime underground, and find the reality is prosaic - AI has some early adoption in existing large-scale, low-profit passive income schemes and trivial forms of fraud but there is little evidence so far on widespread disruption in cybercrime. This replaces existing means of code pasting, error checking, and cheatsheet consultation, for generic aspects of software development involved in cybercrime - and largely for already skilled actors, with low-skill actors finding little utility in vibe coding tools compared to pre-made scripts. The role of jailbroken LLMs (Dark AI) as instructors is also overstated, given the prominence of subculture and social learning in initiation - new users value the social connections and community identity involved in learning hacking and cybercrime skills as much as the knowledge itself. Our initial results, therefore, suggest that even bemoaning the rise of the Vibercriminal may be overstating the level of disruption to date. Subjects: Computers and Society (cs.CY) ; Cryptography and Security (cs.CR) Cite as: arXiv:2603.29545 [cs.CY] (or arXiv:2603.29545v1 [cs.CY] for this version) https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2603.29545 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration) Submission history From: Jack Hughes [ view email ] [v1] Tue, 31 Mar 2026 10:28:33 UTC (664 KB) Full-text links: Access Paper: View a PDF of the paper titled Stand-Alone Complex or Vibercrime? Exploring the adoption and innovation of GenAI tools, coding assistants, and agents within cybercrime ecosystems, by Jack Hughes and 2 other authors View PDF HTML (experimental) TeX Source view license Current browse context: cs.CY < prev | next > new | recent | 2026-03 Change to browse by: cs cs.CR References & Citations NASA ADS Google Scholar Semantic Scholar export BibTeX citation Loading... BibTeX formatted citation × loading... 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