Software Maturity Wall

apolloacademy.com · akyuu · 1 day ago · view on HN · financial-analysis
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Apollo Chief Economist warns of a $40 billion software sector maturity wall in 2028, dominated by lower-rated B- credits and vulnerable to refinancing risks amid AI disruption and persistent high interest rate environment.

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Apollo Global Management Apollo Academy Torsten Slok PitchBook LCD Morningstar LSTA US Leveraged Loan Index
Software Maturity Wall - Apollo Academy Home The Daily Spark Software Maturity Wall 2026-03-12">March 12, 2026 Software Maturity Wall Torsten Slok Apollo Chief Economist Subscribe to The Daily Spark Software faces a massive $40 billion maturity wall in 2028, dominated by lower-rated B- credits, exposing the sector to refinancing risks amid AI disruption and rates higher for longer, see chart below. Note: Data through February 2026. Sources: PitchBook | LCD; Morningstar LSTA US Leveraged Loan Index, Apollo Chief Economist Download high-res chart This presentation may not be distributed, transmitted or otherwise communicated to others in whole or in part without the express consent of Apollo Global Management, Inc. (together with its subsidiaries, “Apollo”). Apollo makes no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, with respect to the accuracy, reasonableness, or completeness of any of the statements made during this presentation, including, but not limited to, statements obtained from third parties. Opinions, estimates and projections constitute the current judgment of the speaker as of the date indicated. They do not necessarily reflect the views and opinions of Apollo and are subject to change at any time without notice. Apollo does not have any responsibility to update this presentation to account for such changes. There can be no assurance that any trends discussed during this presentation will continue. Statements made throughout this presentation are not intended to provide, and should not be relied upon for, accounting, legal or tax advice and do not constitute an investment recommendation or investment advice. Investors should make an independent investigation of the information discussed during this presentation, including consulting their tax, legal, accounting or other advisors about such information. Apollo does not act for you and is not responsible for providing you with the protections afforded to its clients. This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell, or the solicitation of an offer to buy, any security, product or service, including interest in any investment product or fund or account managed or advised by Apollo. Certain statements made throughout this presentation may be “forward-looking” in nature. Due to various risks and uncertainties, actual events or results may differ materially from those reflected or contemplated in such forward-looking information. As such, undue reliance should not be placed on such statements. Forward-looking statements may be identified by the use of terminology including, but not limited to, “may”, “will”, “should”, “expect”, “anticipate”, “target”, “project”, “estimate”, “intend”, “continue” or “believe” or the negatives thereof or other variations thereon or comparable terminology.